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AHT: 01CSV

21 Nov 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.6%
Woking
25.8%
Draw
41.6%
Chesterfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Woking

vs
1.62

Chesterfield

Markets

BTTS61.8%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
0-2
6.3%
1-0
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).