Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.6%
FC Koln
21.9%
Draw
57.5%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
FC Koln
vs
1.86
Roma
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.9%
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
1-0
6.1%
0-3
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
2-3
3.1%
2-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).