Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.1%
Venezia
30.4%
Draw
45.5%
Lazio
Expected Goals (xG)
0.75
Venezia
vs
1.16
Lazio
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.556.6%
Over 2.529.8%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.4%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).