Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.2%
Gil Vicente
23.8%
Draw
58.0%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Gil Vicente
vs
1.61
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.5%
0-2
12.0%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.8%
1-0
7.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
3.5%
2-0
2.7%
0-4
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).