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20 Apr 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.7%
Concarneau
22.9%
Draw
45.4%
Quevilly Rouen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Concarneau

vs
1.57

Quevilly Rouen

Markets

BTTS55.8%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).