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24 Aug 2025 · 12:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.6%
Piast Gliwice
31.2%
Draw
27.2%
Cracovia Kraków

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Piast Gliwice

vs
0.95

Cracovia Kraków

Markets

BTTS44.5%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
12.5%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).