Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.3%
Northampton
26.2%
Draw
31.5%
Rotherham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Northampton
vs
1.03
Rotherham
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.7%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).