Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.4%
Fenerbahce
16.6%
Draw
7.0%
Giresunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.81
Fenerbahce
vs
0.85
Giresunspor
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.570.8%
Over 3.549.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.2%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
7.7%
4-0
6.7%
1-0
5.7%
4-1
5.7%
0-0
4.1%
5-0
3.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).