Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.1%
Newcastle
13.9%
Draw
5.0%
Southampton
Expected Goals (xG)
2.76
Newcastle
vs
0.62
Southampton
Markets
BTTS43.9%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.543.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
3-0
12.0%
1-0
8.6%
4-0
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-0
4.6%
0-0
4.2%
5-1
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).