Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Girona
29.7%
Draw
27.0%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Girona
vs
0.93
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
13.6%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).