Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.6%
Southend
21.6%
Draw
10.8%
Weymouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Southend
vs
0.67
Weymouth
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.9%
1-0
13.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
9.2%
0-0
7.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
4.5%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-2
3.1%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).