Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.8%
Ajaccio
28.9%
Draw
28.3%
Nancy
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Ajaccio
vs
0.83
Nancy
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.556.7%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
0-0
13.3%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
5.0%
3-0
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).