Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Sabadell
27.8%
Draw
22.3%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Sabadell
vs
0.80
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.8%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).