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AHT: 01

31 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.3%
Bracknell Town
27.0%
Draw
24.7%
South Park

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Bracknell Town

vs
0.88

South Park

Markets

BTTS42.9%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.9%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).