Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Huesca
27.4%
Draw
29.4%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Huesca
vs
1.03
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
10.0%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).