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AHT: 00CSV

01 Dec 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.3%
Alloa
28.5%
Draw
30.2%
Ross County

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Alloa

vs
1.30

Ross County

Markets

BTTS59.0%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
5.9%
0-1
5.7%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).