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04 Oct 2025 · 12:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.8%
Rubin Kazan
23.5%
Draw
14.7%
Krylya Sovetov

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

Rubin Kazan

vs
0.87

Krylya Sovetov

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.553.9%
Over 3.531.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.3%
1-1
11.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-1
3.9%
4-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).