Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Dresden
23.4%
Draw
35.3%
Magdeburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Dresden
vs
1.75
Magdeburg
Markets
BTTS71.1%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.588.7%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.549.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-2
4.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
1-0
4.1%
0-2
4.0%
0-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).