Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.6%
Sampdoria
33.9%
Draw
38.5%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Sampdoria
vs
1.07
Modena
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.558.9%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.8%
1-1
14.7%
0-1
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).