Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Newcastle
31.3%
Draw
29.5%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Newcastle
vs
1.08
Everton
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).