Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.0%
Union Berlin
30.0%
Draw
35.0%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Union Berlin
vs
1.16
Mainz
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).