Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Fiorentina
25.3%
Draw
37.4%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Fiorentina
vs
1.36
Genoa
Markets
BTTS55.1%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
9.2%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
6.4%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).