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AHT: 23CSV

20 Apr 2024 · 13:00

Como

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.7%
FeralpiSalo
25.7%
Draw
49.6%
Como

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

FeralpiSalo

vs
1.76

Como

Markets

BTTS58.6%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.2%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).