Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.4%
Cardiff
19.1%
Draw
14.5%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Cardiff
vs
0.76
Exeter
Markets
BTTS45.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
2-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
0-1
5.8%
0-0
5.7%
4-0
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
3.7%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).