Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.8%
Crawley Town
23.9%
Draw
37.3%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Crawley Town
vs
1.32
Exeter
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).