Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.9%
Barnet
25.6%
Draw
15.5%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Barnet
vs
0.76
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).