⚽ FootballData
6 – 1
HHT: 20CSV

27 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
78.0%
Dunfermline
20.4%
Draw
1.6%
Stranraer

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Dunfermline

vs
0.09

Stranraer

Markets

BTTS7.2%
Over 0.582.5%
Over 1.552.5%
Over 2.525.7%
Over 3.510.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
28.6%
2-0
23.9%
0-0
17.5%
3-0
13.3%
4-0
5.5%
1-1
2.8%
2-1
2.2%
5-0
1.8%
0-1
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-1
0.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).