Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Cadiz
26.3%
Draw
41.4%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Cadiz
vs
1.37
Malaga
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).