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AHT: 02

31 Aug 2024 · 16:15

Dender

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.4%
K. Beerschot V.A.
26.1%
Draw
33.5%
Dender

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

K. Beerschot V.A.

vs
1.32

Dender

Markets

BTTS56.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.530.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).