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22 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.7%
Seraing
24.1%
Draw
62.2%
Anderlecht

Expected Goals (xG)

0.69

Seraing

vs
1.75

Anderlecht

Markets

BTTS41.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.6%
0-2
13.3%
1-1
11.1%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-3
7.8%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-1
3.6%
0-4
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
1-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).