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AHT: 10

24 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.0%
Queens Park Rangers
25.0%
Draw
44.0%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.74

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS63.6%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.5%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.3%
1-0
5.1%
0-0
5.1%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
3.8%
0-3
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).