Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Man United
25.7%
Draw
34.5%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Man United
vs
1.59
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS66.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.564.2%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.4%
0-0
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
1-0
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
0-1
4.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).