Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.8%
Bolton
20.5%
Draw
12.7%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Bolton
vs
0.60
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
2-0
14.7%
1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.8%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).