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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.1%
Great Wakering Rovers
40.4%
Draw
38.5%
Redbridge

Expected Goals (xG)

0.47

Great Wakering Rovers

vs
0.74

Redbridge

Markets

BTTS19.3%
Over 0.570.5%
Over 1.533.8%
Over 2.512.3%
Over 3.53.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
29.5%
0-1
22.5%
1-0
14.3%
1-1
10.0%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-0
3.3%
2-1
2.4%
0-3
2.0%
1-3
1.0%
2-2
0.9%
3-0
0.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).