Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.1%
Elche
25.2%
Draw
27.7%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Elche
vs
1.18
Girona
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).