Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Monaco
22.4%
Draw
24.6%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.82
Monaco
vs
1.16
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
8.4%
1-2
6.2%
0-1
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).