Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
Karagumruk
29.7%
Draw
15.5%
Istanbulspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Karagumruk
vs
0.83
Istanbulspor
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
2-0
11.4%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
0-1
3.8%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).