Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.2%
Zaragoza
23.0%
Draw
53.7%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Zaragoza
vs
1.79
Santander
Markets
BTTS55.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.0%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).