Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.5%
Swansea
28.0%
Draw
45.5%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Swansea
vs
1.49
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.7%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).