Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Bournemouth
28.9%
Draw
22.7%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.44
Bournemouth
vs
0.91
Millwall
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).