Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.9%
Valladolid
24.5%
Draw
25.6%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Valladolid
vs
1.08
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).