Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.0%
Levante
22.2%
Draw
56.8%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Levante
vs
1.97
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS58.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.537.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
8.8%
0-1
8.8%
1-3
6.5%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
1-0
4.9%
0-0
4.8%
2-3
3.6%
1-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).