Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.0%
Villarreal B
28.6%
Draw
30.4%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Villarreal B
vs
1.00
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
10.9%
2-0
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
4.0%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).