Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.9%
Lorient
23.5%
Draw
50.6%
Lens
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Lorient
vs
1.68
Lens
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
0-3
4.8%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).