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AHT: 01CSV

23 Jan 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.4%
Hamilton
27.9%
Draw
20.7%
Aberdeen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Hamilton

vs
0.83

Aberdeen

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.5%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).