Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.1%
Valenciennes
26.4%
Draw
54.5%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66
Valenciennes
vs
1.35
Troyes
Markets
BTTS34.6%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.558.5%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.1%
0-0
12.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-1
11.0%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
8.0%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-0
2.9%
2-2
2.6%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).