Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.7%
Granada
28.3%
Draw
45.0%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Granada
vs
1.36
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.6%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
9.0%
0-2
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).