Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Valladolid
26.4%
Draw
36.0%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Valladolid
vs
1.26
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
0-0
7.6%
2-0
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).