Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Sporting Gijón
29.9%
Draw
29.5%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Sporting Gijón
vs
0.92
Burgos
Markets
BTTS40.5%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
12.0%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).