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AHT: 10CSV

19 May 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.4%
Wehen
25.2%
Draw
58.4%
St Pauli

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Wehen

vs
1.77

St Pauli

Markets

BTTS48.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.0%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).